Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ADA prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-03-09 0.720965 0.823461 0.934213 1.062639 1.207315 1.365108 1.550098
2025-03-16 0.585368 0.729007 0.896748 1.106496 1.361108 1.659489 2.034960
2025-03-23 0.493550 0.665410 0.880818 1.169122 1.543190 2.010239 2.635458
2025-03-30 0.403731 0.586650 0.831646 1.180940 1.662771 2.300119 3.202344
2025-04-06 0.342424 0.533398 0.805329 1.216096 1.815071 2.649540 3.891147
2025-04-13 0.279928 0.466199 0.747418 1.196148 1.885532 2.893535 4.464156
2025-04-20 0.245955 0.435357 0.736877 1.242312 2.055825 3.297383 5.312098
2025-04-27 0.219238 0.410901 0.731505 1.294061 2.239161 3.739146 6.264769
2025-05-04 0.191043 0.378492 0.707400 1.310393 2.365661 4.103776 7.133958
2025-05-11 0.165585 0.346120 0.677793 1.311858 2.465360 4.432932 7.977028
2025-05-18 0.144261 0.317499 0.650070 1.311690 2.560247 4.761189 8.848702
2025-05-25 0.127794 0.295401 0.630847 1.323700 2.676851 5.136419 9.835641
2025-06-01 0.114802 0.278489 0.619725 1.350768 2.826761 5.590051 11.015250
2025-06-08 0.100314 0.255577 0.592881 1.342561 2.907373 5.924414 12.009931
2025-06-15 0.091282 0.243388 0.586661 1.375808 3.073836 6.436513 13.387208
2025-06-22 0.079991 0.223579 0.560617 1.362767 3.143211 6.766389 14.443593
2025-06-29 0.072580 0.211978 0.551330 1.385255 3.289789 7.263196 15.875007
2025-07-06 0.062787 0.192155 0.519494 1.351511 3.309435 7.501917 16.805044
2025-07-13 0.058448 0.186276 0.520687 1.395687 3.508166 8.132991 18.602772
2025-07-20 0.054908 0.181960 0.525133 1.448267 3.731880 8.837477 20.616068
2025-07-27 0.050004 0.172622 0.515052 1.463066 3.868055 9.362738 22.287601
2025-08-03 0.045031 0.162013 0.499853 1.462518 3.966869 9.813156 23.832612
2025-08-10 0.040594 0.152131 0.485064 1.460920 4.062635 10.264749 25.417903